Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.452621 0.497201 0.545003 0.600196 0.662317 0.730248 0.810386
2025-11-02 0.382356 0.444735 0.516450 0.605530 0.713950 0.842567 1.008091
2025-11-09 0.333058 0.401978 0.484901 0.593053 0.731900 0.906250 1.145074
2025-11-16 0.305143 0.379498 0.472350 0.598459 0.767823 0.991144 1.314258
2025-11-23 0.279494 0.356252 0.455094 0.593965 0.787730 1.054203 1.458691
2025-11-30 0.261358 0.340524 0.445317 0.597145 0.816555 1.130346 1.628773
2025-12-07 0.242268 0.321592 0.429094 0.589033 0.827345 1.180156 1.763810
2025-12-14 0.225970 0.305035 0.414489 0.581321 0.837009 1.227927 1.899914
2025-12-21 0.208123 0.284924 0.393167 0.561572 0.825970 1.241603 1.980465
2025-12-28 0.200704 0.279135 0.391924 0.571532 0.861397 1.331932 2.201853
2026-01-04 0.193297 0.272768 0.389204 0.578683 0.892509 1.417719 2.426092
2026-01-11 0.185679 0.265533 0.384551 0.582166 0.917490 1.495060 2.644698
2026-01-18 0.178165 0.258129 0.379334 0.584617 0.941455 1.574126 2.880542
2026-01-25 0.171821 0.252144 0.375930 0.589757 0.970525 1.665634 3.155899
2026-02-01 0.162330 0.240660 0.362987 0.577673 0.967520 1.696409 3.308390
2026-02-08 0.157172 0.235733 0.360292 0.582910 0.996393 1.791282 3.614729
2026-02-15 0.150529 0.228031 0.352524 0.578556 1.006737 1.850271 3.849346
2026-02-22 0.145782 0.223142 0.349109 0.581636 1.031383 1.940804 4.172968
2026-03-01 0.139397 0.215215 0.340078 0.573779 1.033788 1.984764 4.390234
2026-03-08 0.133519 0.207846 0.331590 0.566308 1.036232 2.028903 4.615430
2026-03-15 0.126070 0.197492 0.317394 0.547174 1.013293 2.014611 4.685163
2026-03-22 0.123770 0.195795 0.318287 0.556824 1.050795 2.140519 5.157035
2026-03-29 0.121157 0.193420 0.317817 0.563753 1.083098 2.258262 5.630525